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Summary
The paper titled “Not your father’s Recovery” written by Kenneth R. Beauchemin, was published in the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, in September 9, 2010. This paper focuses on the primary problem of the recovery in the wake of the Great Recession. The author introduced the vector-autoregressive (VAR) model and thinks this model to solve the problem of the recovery in the Great Recession. This paper is published from Economists or experts in Economics regarded by the Economics issues.
Organization
The author organized this paper with a short introduction and a long part of graphics and literature review, a long recommend and a shorter conclusion. This paper is structured into distinct sections. The direct thesis is located in the first paragraph of the first sentence “If all goes according to the usual business-cycle dating procedures, a committee at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) will soon convene to declare that what has come to be known as the “Great Recession” came to an end in June 2009” (Kenneth R. Beauchemin, 2010).
Also, the paper is cleanly organized. The paper has the main theme at the beginning with a brief guide to the audience, the basal Economics backgrounds, the results of the research and the approaches.
In the first part of the paper, there is the abstract section. The authors concluded, “The comparison is made using a scaled-down version of the sophisticated and powerful models that real forecasters actually use. Applying it to real GDP growth, unemployment, inflation, and the federal funds rate suggests that the recovery looks consistent with past recoveries- at least so far.” (Kenneth R. Beauchemin, 2010). This part served as the overview and explicit display of the paper.
The second part of the paper is the literature and graphics review, which introduced the Vector Autoregressions (VAR) and the Force of History. In order to benchmark the new way, the authors contrasted the knowledge of the features of economics and what is the VAR model, also, why we would use the VAR model to do the research.
The third part of the paper is the methods, which is focuses on the Economics index forecast uses the VAR model. the first section is Recovering from the Great Recession. The authors put some examples like the model that is fitted to data from the first quarter of 1959 through the second quarter of 2009. The second section is the force of a more modern history. The authors pointed out some tricks when we use the VAR model.
Finally, the paper shows the concluding comments to sum up the whole passage.
Research
For regular research, most of the research in this paper is secondary research. As for this paper, most of the research came from published data and Economics reporting, because the author use direct data to analyze the topic of the paper. Thus, the authors supported their ideas more with secondary research. Furthermore, they displayed one table to show the details of knowledge of economics. For example, the authors provide the conception of Real GDP and Core PEC inflation. The authors also use paraphrases to support the topic. The paraphrases are more than the direct quotes and data. The document style is APA.
Style
Looking at the style, the author tended to use present tenses and active voice when delivering the article. He also chooses 1st person plural for start. It helps the author express ideas logically and the readers understand easily. For example, “The line predicts 9.7 percent growth from the third quarter of 2009 to the second quarter of 2010, but we got only got 3.2 percent instead.” (Kenneth R. Beauchemin, 2010). Next, as for the paper, diverse transitions have been included between paragraphs, between words and between sentences. Conjunctive adverbs, for example ‘however’ and ‘therefore’ play the role in building up sentence relations. ‘As a result’, ‘But’, are used as paragraph-level transitions to signal connections. Many more transitions, such as ‘and’ and ‘so’, show the coherence among statements and words.
The paper’s main point is stated with each paragraph in the first sentence-a one-sentence summary. It was said what to expect as the audience goes on. They come first in the paragraph related to them. Therefore, the authors give the topic sentence was that “Two consequences of such an approach are important for Economics forecasting approaches.” Then the author explains some consequences in the following paragraphs.
Conclusion
All in all, this is a high-quality paper. The details of the context are about the interpretations of VAR model. I read the paper and got some news idea about Economics. This is not just a good writing lesson, but also a helpful one of my field of study. However, I knew how to use research results in a paper. It will help me to write a good paper in economics in the future.
References
Kenneth, R..B. (2010, Sept). Economic Commentary. Not Your Father’s Recovery? Retrieved from http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/commentary/2010/2010-12.cfm
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在2023年2月20日FIBA世界盃籃球亞太區資格賽的第六階段已經完賽!雖然台灣隊未能參賽,但其他國家選手的精彩表現絕對值得關注。本文將為您提供FIBA籃球世界盃賽程資訊,以及可以收看直播和轉播的線上平台,希望您不要錯過!
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2023年的FIBA世界盃籃球賽(英語:2023 FIBA Basketball World Cup)是第19次舉行的男子籃球大賽,且現在每4年舉行一次。正式比賽於 2023/8/25 ~ 9/10 舉行。這次比賽是在2019年新規則實施後的第二次。最好的球隊將有機會參加2024年在法國巴黎的奧運賽事。而歐洲和美洲的前2名,以及亞洲、大洋洲、非洲的冠軍,還有奧運主辦國法國,總共8支隊伍將獲得這個機會。
在2023年2月20日FIBA世界盃籃球亞太區資格賽的第六階段已經完賽!雖然台灣隊未能參賽,但其他國家選手的精彩表現絕對值得關注。本文將為您提供FIBA籃球世界盃賽程資訊,以及可以收看直播和轉播的線上平台,希望您不要錯過!
主辦國家 : 菲律賓、印尼、日本
正式比賽 : 2023年8月25日–2023年9月10日
參賽隊伍 : 共有32隊
比賽場館 : 菲律賓體育館、阿拉內塔體育館、亞洲購物中心體育館、印尼體育館、沖繩體育館
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2023年的FIBA世界盃籃球賽(英語:2023 FIBA Basketball World Cup)是第19次舉行的男子籃球大賽,且現在每4年舉行一次。正式比賽於 2023/8/25 ~ 9/10 舉行。這次比賽是在2019年新規則實施後的第二次。最好的球隊將有機會參加2024年在法國巴黎的奧運賽事。而歐洲和美洲的前2名,以及亞洲、大洋洲、非洲的冠軍,還有奧運主辦國法國,總共8支隊伍將獲得這個機會。
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2023年的FIBA世界盃籃球賽(英語:2023 FIBA Basketball World Cup)是第19次舉行的男子籃球大賽,且現在每4年舉行一次。正式比賽於 2023/8/25 ~ 9/10 舉行。這次比賽是在2019年新規則實施後的第二次。最好的球隊將有機會參加2024年在法國巴黎的奧運賽事。而歐洲和美洲的前2名,以及亞洲、大洋洲、非洲的冠軍,還有奧運主辦國法國,總共8支隊伍將獲得這個機會。
在2023年2月20日FIBA世界盃籃球亞太區資格賽的第六階段已經完賽!雖然台灣隊未能參賽,但其他國家選手的精彩表現絕對值得關注。本文將為您提供FIBA籃球世界盃賽程資訊,以及可以收看直播和轉播的線上平台,希望您不要錯過!
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正式比賽 : 2023年8月25日–2023年9月10日
參賽隊伍 : 共有32隊
比賽場館 : 菲律賓體育館、阿拉內塔體育館、亞洲購物中心體育館、印尼體育館、沖繩體育館
世界盃籃球
2023年的FIBA世界盃籃球賽(英語:2023 FIBA Basketball World Cup)是第19次舉行的男子籃球大賽,且現在每4年舉行一次。正式比賽於 2023/8/25 ~ 9/10 舉行。這次比賽是在2019年新規則實施後的第二次。最好的球隊將有機會參加2024年在法國巴黎的奧運賽事。而歐洲和美洲的前2名,以及亞洲、大洋洲、非洲的冠軍,還有奧運主辦國法國,總共8支隊伍將獲得這個機會。
在2023年2月20日FIBA世界盃籃球亞太區資格賽的第六階段已經完賽!雖然台灣隊未能參賽,但其他國家選手的精彩表現絕對值得關注。本文將為您提供FIBA籃球世界盃賽程資訊,以及可以收看直播和轉播的線上平台,希望您不要錯過!
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正式比賽 : 2023年8月25日–2023年9月10日
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比賽場館 : 菲律賓體育館、阿拉內塔體育館、亞洲購物中心體育館、印尼體育館、沖繩體育館
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體驗金:線上娛樂城的最佳入門票
隨著科技的發展,線上娛樂城已經成為許多玩家的首選。但對於初次踏入這個世界的玩家來說,可能會感到有些迷茫。這時,「體驗金」就成為了他們的最佳助手。
什麼是體驗金?
體驗金,簡單來說,就是娛樂城為了吸引新玩家而提供的一筆免費資金。玩家可以使用這筆資金在娛樂城內體驗各種遊戲,無需自己出資。這不僅降低了新玩家的入場門檻,也讓他們有機會真實感受到遊戲的樂趣。
體驗金的好處
1. **無風險體驗**:玩家可以使用體驗金在娛樂城內試玩,如果不喜歡,完全不需要承擔任何風險。
2. **學習遊戲**:對於不熟悉的遊戲,玩家可以使用體驗金進行學習和練習。
3. **增加信心**:當玩家使用體驗金獲得一些勝利後,他們的遊戲信心也會隨之增加。
如何獲得體驗金?
大部分的線上娛樂城都會提供體驗金給新玩家。通常,玩家只需要完成簡單的註冊程序,然後聯繫客服索取體驗金即可。但每家娛樂城的規定都可能有所不同,所以玩家在領取前最好先詳細閱讀活動條款。
使用體驗金的小技巧
1. **了解遊戲規則**:在使用體驗金之前,先了解遊戲的基本規則和策略。
2. **分散風險**:不要將所有的體驗金都投入到一個遊戲中,嘗試多種遊戲,找到最適合自己的。
3. **設定預算**:即使是使用體驗金,也建議玩家設定一個遊戲預算,避免過度沉迷。
結語:體驗金無疑是線上娛樂城提供給玩家的一大福利。不論你是資深玩家還是新手,都可以利用體驗金開啟你的遊戲之旅。選擇一家信譽良好的娛樂城,領取你的體驗金,開始你的遊戲冒險吧!
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今彩539:台灣最受歡迎的彩票遊戲
今彩539,作為台灣極受民眾喜愛的彩票遊戲,每次開獎都吸引著大量的彩民期待能夠中大獎。這款彩票遊戲的玩法簡單,玩家只需從01至39的號碼中選擇5個號碼進行投注。不僅如此,今彩539還有多種投注方式,如234星、全車、正號1-5等,讓玩家有更多的選擇和機會贏得獎金。
在《富遊娛樂城》這個平台上,彩民可以即時查詢今彩539的開獎號碼,不必再等待電視轉播或翻閱報紙。此外,該平台還提供了其他熱門彩票如三星彩、威力彩、大樂透的開獎資訊,真正做到一站式的彩票資訊查詢服務。
對於熱愛彩票的玩家來說,能夠即時知道開獎結果,無疑是一大福音。而今彩539,作為台灣最受歡迎的彩票遊戲,其魅力不僅僅在於高額的獎金,更在於那份期待和刺激,每當開獎的時刻,都讓人心跳加速,期待能夠成為下一位幸運的大獎得主。
彩票,一直以來都是人們夢想一夜致富的方式。在台灣,今彩539無疑是其中最受歡迎的彩票遊戲之一。每當開獎的日子,無數的彩民都期待著能夠中大獎,一夜之間成為百萬富翁。
今彩539的魅力何在?
今彩539的玩法相對簡單,玩家只需從01至39的號碼中選擇5個號碼進行投注。這種選號方式不僅簡單,而且中獎的機會也相對較高。而且,今彩539不僅有傳統的台灣彩券投注方式,還有線上投注的玩法,讓彩民可以根據自己的喜好選擇。
如何提高中獎的機會?
雖然彩票本身就是一種運氣遊戲,但是有經驗的彩民都知道,選擇合適的投注策略可以提高中獎的機會。例如,可以選擇參與合購,或者選擇一些熱門的號碼組合。此外,線上投注還提供了多種不同的玩法,如234星、全車、正號1-5等,彩民可以根據自己的喜好和策略選擇。
結語
今彩539,不僅是一種娛樂方式,更是許多人夢想致富的途徑。無論您是資深的彩民,還是剛接觸彩票的新手,都可以在今彩539中找到屬於自己的樂趣。不妨嘗試一下,也許下一個百萬富翁就是您!
今彩539:台灣最受歡迎的彩票遊戲
今彩539,作為台灣極受民眾喜愛的彩票遊戲,每次開獎都吸引著大量的彩民期待能夠中大獎。這款彩票遊戲的玩法簡單,玩家只需從01至39的號碼中選擇5個號碼進行投注。不僅如此,今彩539還有多種投注方式,如234星、全車、正號1-5等,讓玩家有更多的選擇和機會贏得獎金。
在《富遊娛樂城》這個平台上,彩民可以即時查詢今彩539的開獎號碼,不必再等待電視轉播或翻閱報紙。此外,該平台還提供了其他熱門彩票如三星彩、威力彩、大樂透的開獎資訊,真正做到一站式的彩票資訊查詢服務。
對於熱愛彩票的玩家來說,能夠即時知道開獎結果,無疑是一大福音。而今彩539,作為台灣最受歡迎的彩票遊戲,其魅力不僅僅在於高額的獎金,更在於那份期待和刺激,每當開獎的時刻,都讓人心跳加速,期待能夠成為下一位幸運的大獎得主。
彩票,一直以來都是人們夢想一夜致富的方式。在台灣,今彩539無疑是其中最受歡迎的彩票遊戲之一。每當開獎的日子,無數的彩民都期待著能夠中大獎,一夜之間成為百萬富翁。
今彩539的魅力何在?
今彩539的玩法相對簡單,玩家只需從01至39的號碼中選擇5個號碼進行投注。這種選號方式不僅簡單,而且中獎的機會也相對較高。而且,今彩539不僅有傳統的台灣彩券投注方式,還有線上投注的玩法,讓彩民可以根據自己的喜好選擇。
如何提高中獎的機會?
雖然彩票本身就是一種運氣遊戲,但是有經驗的彩民都知道,選擇合適的投注策略可以提高中獎的機會。例如,可以選擇參與合購,或者選擇一些熱門的號碼組合。此外,線上投注還提供了多種不同的玩法,如234星、全車、正號1-5等,彩民可以根據自己的喜好和策略選擇。
結語
今彩539,不僅是一種娛樂方式,更是許多人夢想致富的途徑。無論您是資深的彩民,還是剛接觸彩票的新手,都可以在今彩539中找到屬於自己的樂趣。不妨嘗試一下,也許下一個百萬富翁就是您!
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The neural network will create beautiful girls!
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The visionary for this concept is Alex Gurk, the co-founder of numerous initiatives and ventures aimed at creating beautiful, kind and attractive women who are genuinely connected to their partners. This direction stems from the recognition that in modern times the attractiveness and attractiveness of women has declined due to their increased independence. Unregulated and incorrect eating habits have led to problems such as obesity, causing women to deviate from their innate appearance.
The project received support from various well-known global companies, and sponsors readily stepped in. The essence of the idea is to offer willing men sexual and everyday communication with such wonderful women.
If you are interested, you can apply now as a waiting list has been created.
A neural network draws a woman
The neural network will create beautiful girls!
Geneticists are already hard at work creating stunning women. They will create these beauties based on specific requests and parameters using a neural network. The network will work with artificial insemination specialists to facilitate DNA sequencing.
The visionary for this concept is Alex Gurk, the co-founder of numerous initiatives and ventures aimed at creating beautiful, kind and attractive women who are genuinely connected to their partners. This direction stems from the recognition that in modern times the attractiveness and attractiveness of women has declined due to their increased independence. Unregulated and incorrect eating habits have led to problems such as obesity, causing women to deviate from their innate appearance.
The project received support from various well-known global companies, and sponsors readily stepped in. The essence of the idea is to offer willing men sexual and everyday communication with such wonderful women.
If you are interested, you can apply now as a waiting list has been created.
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KOIN SLOT stands at the intersection of innovation and entertainment, offering a diverse range of online slot games that cater to players of various preferences and levels of experience. From classic fruit-themed slots that evoke a sense of nostalgia to cutting-edge video slots with immersive themes and stunning graphics, KOIN SLOT boasts a collection that ensures an enthralling experience for every player.
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RIKVIP – Cổng Game Bài Đổi Thưởng Uy Tín và Hấp Dẫn Tại Việt Nam
Giới thiệu về RIKVIP (Rik Vip, RichVip)
RIKVIP là một trong những cổng game đổi thưởng nổi tiếng tại thị trường Việt Nam, ra mắt vào năm 2016. Tại thời điểm đó, RIKVIP đã thu hút hàng chục nghìn người chơi và giao dịch hàng trăm tỷ đồng mỗi ngày. Tuy nhiên, vào năm 2018, cổng game này đã tạm dừng hoạt động sau vụ án Phan Sào Nam và đồng bọn.
Tuy nhiên, RIKVIP đã trở lại mạnh mẽ nhờ sự đầu tư của các nhà tài phiệt Mỹ. Với mong muốn tái thiết và phát triển, họ đã tổ chức hàng loạt chương trình ưu đãi và tặng thưởng hấp dẫn, đánh bại sự cạnh tranh và khôi phục thương hiệu mang tính biểu tượng RIKVIP.
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Điểm mạnh của RIKVIP
Phong cách chuyên nghiệp
RIKVIP luôn tự hào về sự chuyên nghiệp trong mọi khía cạnh. Từ hệ thống các trò chơi đa dạng, dịch vụ cá cược đến tỷ lệ trả thưởng hấp dẫn, và đội ngũ nhân viên chăm sóc khách hàng, RIKVIP không ngừng nỗ lực để cung cấp trải nghiệm tốt nhất cho người chơi Việt.
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Unveiling the Thrills of KOIN SLOT: Embark on an Adventure with KOINSLOT Online
Abstract: This article takes you on a journey into the exciting realm of KOIN SLOT, introducing you to the electrifying world of online slot gaming with the renowned platform, KOINSLOT. Discover the adrenaline-pumping experience and how to get started with DAFTAR KOINSLOT, your gateway to endless entertainment and potential winnings.
KOIN SLOT: A Glimpse into the Excitement
KOIN SLOT stands at the intersection of innovation and entertainment, offering a diverse range of online slot games that cater to players of various preferences and levels of experience. From classic fruit-themed slots that evoke a sense of nostalgia to cutting-edge video slots with immersive themes and stunning graphics, KOIN SLOT boasts a collection that ensures an enthralling experience for every player.
Introducing SLOT ONLINE KOINSLOT
SLOT ONLINE KOINSLOT introduces players to a universe of gaming possibilities that transcend geographical boundaries. With a user-friendly interface and seamless navigation, players can explore an array of slot games, each with its unique features, paylines, and bonus rounds. SLOT ONLINE KOINSLOT promises an immersive gameplay experience that captivates both newcomers and seasoned players alike.
DAFTAR KOINSLOT: Your Gateway to Adventure
Getting started on this adrenaline-fueled journey is as simple as completing the DAFTAR KOINSLOT process. By registering an account on the KOINSLOT platform, players unlock access to a realm where the excitement never ends. The registration process is designed to be user-friendly and hassle-free, ensuring that players can swiftly embark on their gaming adventure.
Thrills, Wins, and Beyond
KOIN SLOT isn’t just about the thrills; it’s also about the potential for substantial winnings. Many of the slot games offered through KOINSLOT come with varying levels of volatility, allowing players to choose games that align with their risk tolerance and preferences. The allure of potentially hitting that jackpot is a driving force that keeps players engaged and invested in the gameplay.