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Summary
The paper titled “Not your father’s Recovery” written by Kenneth R. Beauchemin, was published in the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, in September 9, 2010. This paper focuses on the primary problem of the recovery in the wake of the Great Recession. The author introduced the vector-autoregressive (VAR) model and thinks this model to solve the problem of the recovery in the Great Recession. This paper is published from Economists or experts in Economics regarded by the Economics issues.
Organization
The author organized this paper with a short introduction and a long part of graphics and literature review, a long recommend and a shorter conclusion. This paper is structured into distinct sections. The direct thesis is located in the first paragraph of the first sentence “If all goes according to the usual business-cycle dating procedures, a committee at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) will soon convene to declare that what has come to be known as the “Great Recession” came to an end in June 2009” (Kenneth R. Beauchemin, 2010).
Also, the paper is cleanly organized. The paper has the main theme at the beginning with a brief guide to the audience, the basal Economics backgrounds, the results of the research and the approaches.
In the first part of the paper, there is the abstract section. The authors concluded, “The comparison is made using a scaled-down version of the sophisticated and powerful models that real forecasters actually use. Applying it to real GDP growth, unemployment, inflation, and the federal funds rate suggests that the recovery looks consistent with past recoveries- at least so far.” (Kenneth R. Beauchemin, 2010). This part served as the overview and explicit display of the paper.
The second part of the paper is the literature and graphics review, which introduced the Vector Autoregressions (VAR) and the Force of History. In order to benchmark the new way, the authors contrasted the knowledge of the features of economics and what is the VAR model, also, why we would use the VAR model to do the research.
The third part of the paper is the methods, which is focuses on the Economics index forecast uses the VAR model. the first section is Recovering from the Great Recession. The authors put some examples like the model that is fitted to data from the first quarter of 1959 through the second quarter of 2009. The second section is the force of a more modern history. The authors pointed out some tricks when we use the VAR model.
Finally, the paper shows the concluding comments to sum up the whole passage.
Research
For regular research, most of the research in this paper is secondary research. As for this paper, most of the research came from published data and Economics reporting, because the author use direct data to analyze the topic of the paper. Thus, the authors supported their ideas more with secondary research. Furthermore, they displayed one table to show the details of knowledge of economics. For example, the authors provide the conception of Real GDP and Core PEC inflation. The authors also use paraphrases to support the topic. The paraphrases are more than the direct quotes and data. The document style is APA.
Style
Looking at the style, the author tended to use present tenses and active voice when delivering the article. He also chooses 1st person plural for start. It helps the author express ideas logically and the readers understand easily. For example, “The line predicts 9.7 percent growth from the third quarter of 2009 to the second quarter of 2010, but we got only got 3.2 percent instead.” (Kenneth R. Beauchemin, 2010). Next, as for the paper, diverse transitions have been included between paragraphs, between words and between sentences. Conjunctive adverbs, for example ‘however’ and ‘therefore’ play the role in building up sentence relations. ‘As a result’, ‘But’, are used as paragraph-level transitions to signal connections. Many more transitions, such as ‘and’ and ‘so’, show the coherence among statements and words.
The paper’s main point is stated with each paragraph in the first sentence-a one-sentence summary. It was said what to expect as the audience goes on. They come first in the paragraph related to them. Therefore, the authors give the topic sentence was that “Two consequences of such an approach are important for Economics forecasting approaches.” Then the author explains some consequences in the following paragraphs.
Conclusion
All in all, this is a high-quality paper. The details of the context are about the interpretations of VAR model. I read the paper and got some news idea about Economics. This is not just a good writing lesson, but also a helpful one of my field of study. However, I knew how to use research results in a paper. It will help me to write a good paper in economics in the future.
References
Kenneth, R..B. (2010, Sept). Economic Commentary. Not Your Father’s Recovery? Retrieved from http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/commentary/2010/2010-12.cfm
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Tony–I’m a little surprised at the number of errors in this final draft. It’s a decent analysis of the paper, but the grammar and vocabulary errors are distracting.
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Shah warns that ketamine isn’t a permanent cure for depression—no such permanent cure exists. However, he knows of many patients who report reduced severity of symptoms and better managing of their conditions. He sees ketamine working in concert with other medications and treatments. Use of ketamine with other drugs, including alcohol, benzodiazepines like Xanax, barbiturates or opiates is particularly dangerous and can result in death. Heavy use of ketamine can result in damage or even destruction of the bladder, resulting in severe pain during urination and need for surgical removal of the bladder. The EMCDDA is located at: One explanation for these differences is that psychedelic administration produces a period of behavioral flexibility in which new coping strategies can be learned. These animal studies suggest that psychedelic-assisted therapy may become a powerful tool for treating psychiatric and cognitive disorders, as the timing and the environmental context of administration are relevant for psychedelic therapeutics. https://wellbeingtoolkit.net/community/profile/maddisondecker7/ SEE ALSO: The best dating sites for introverts, wallflowers, and anyone hesitant to try online dating It will be published if it complies with the content rules and our moderators approve it. According to Steven Hager, a former editor of High Times, the importance of 420 dates back to the early 1970s, when a group of Northern California teens began smoking marijuana around 4:20 p.m. as a ritual. The seniors using cannabis today aren’t your parents’ grandparents. The generation that camped out at Woodstock is now in its seventies. They’ve been around grass long enough to realize it’s not going to kill them, and are more open to the possibility it will come with health benefits. (By contrast, in a survey of one, my 100-year-old grandmother recently said she had no interest in medical marijuana.)
An official website of the United States government Duclos and Addictions Minister Carolyn Bennett have asked the expert panel to apply a sex and gender lens to their investigation and pay particular attention to how legalization has affected women, Indigenous and racialized people who might face greater barriers to participating in the legal industry. This is contrasted against the probable approach in British Columbia. While the British Columbia government has not formally announced its position in respect of the existing unlicensed cannabis dispensaries, it has proposed a retail model that allows private-owned retail locations and has, in public remarks, suggested there may be a path to bring existing unlicensed cannabis dispensaries into the new regulated regime for retail distribution of recreational cannabis. https://fernandonfuj421976.digitollblog.com/14495963/marijuana-investing-canada Consistent with how the Department administers its other health care benefits, VAC established a fixed rate of up to $8.50 per gram, whether taken in dried marijuana, or its equivalent in fresh marijuana or cannabis oil. The fixed rate ensures that what Veterans are charged, and the Department reimburses, is a fair market value price. Medical marijuana allows for the use of marijuana or its chemical to treat diseases or conditions. It’s no different from the products used for recreational purposes, but is tightly regulated, and approved medical use is not punishable by law. The Cannamedical® card is valid for as long as the patient receives pharmaceutical cannabis. If the cannabis therapy is terminated, the patient is obliged to irrevocably dispose of the Cannamedical® patient ID card.
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A 2019 paper suggested that there may be more questions than answers when it comes to the benefits and safety of microdosing. For example, the paper authors say we do not have enough concrete information about the true benefits of microdosing versus placebo effects, risks of microdosing, or what dose is enough to produce benefits. With retreats, those running them can be in charge of and constantly monitor the intake of psychedelics and the resulting effects. But a new crop of psilocybin-based products are coming to the fore, for people to use by themselves. This puts the individual in charge of their own intakes, doses and, by extension, safety. Participants were sent empty medical capsules in the post that they could open to insert a small piece of drug-impregnated paper. When reclosed, the loaded pills looked the same as empty ones. The 191 volunteers put the drug into some of their capsules, then put them in batches into envelopes printed with QR codes and shuffled the envelopes so they no longer knew which contained the drugs. http://growingmagicmushroomsincanada145.yousher.com/psilocybin-azurescens-spores Join our email list to get exclusive offers, the best in books, and more. Those interested in participating should talk to their healthcare provider about a referral to CAMH for an assessment. To start her day, the freelance writer and content creator occasionally mixes dried psilocybin mushrooms with cacao, spices, oat milk, and some other herbs and anti-inflammatories for a morning latte. Stacey, a cannabis communications expert, began making microdose psilocybin capsules in late 2018 as an alternative to drinking and weed edibles. She now sells them to a small group of friends, but said she doesn’t have the time or resources to launch a business. Join our email list to get exclusive offers, the best in books, and more. Keep up to date on what’s happening with Blue Goba.
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Several hundred cryptocurrency exchanges are listed online today, but we reviewed the leading, established crypto platforms with a good reputation in the crypto space. When you open an account with eToro or one of the other top-rated crypto exchanges, you will have to submit proof of identity, like a driving license or passport, before you can deposit funds and gain full access to services. According to a 2021 Finder survey, Americans hold an average of $1,003 in crypto in their crypto wallets. However, roughly three-quarters of respondents actually held less than this amount, and the median dollar amount of cryptocurrency in our respondent’s wallets was only $191. The number of Americans who own a cryptocurrency has jumped from 7.95% in 2018 and 14.4% in 2019 to 23.16% in 2021, an increase of 61% in two years, according to a survey of 2,059 participants commissioned by Finder. That means roughly 59.1 million Americans own crypto.
I actually had one Bumble BFF success. She and her husband just moved here a few months ago and don’t know anyone. She’s smart, kind, interesting, and seems like an amazing person. We’ve been on three friend dates and one double date since we first met. Honestly, she’s one of the best people I’ve met in a long time. We are so much alike! But within an hour or two I’d been invited on a meet-up (a lady date?!) and organised a gathering with around five other young women – I thought it would be less awkward if there was a few of us to get the conversation going. How old do you have to be to use Bumble BFF? You need to be over 18 in order to use all Bumble modes, and this goes both for Bumble Bff guys and girls as well as for those on the Date mode. Is it time to reassess a friendship?
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A friend told me recently that she found herself late at night typing into Google “Where am I meant to meet someone?” and that struck me as sad as it was true. When we go to bars or clubs or cafes, no one is there to pick up. They have an app for that, which one uses in the privacy of their own bedroom while wearing an ugly oversized t-shirt covered in Dorito residue. For Spencer, Tinder is like going to a bar that’s packed with people: you just can’t find the opening to make a meaningful connection with someone. But Firefly, Spencer says, is more organic, like meeting someone new at a friend’s wedding. “This is going to be for building real long-term relationships, not just hookups,” Zuckerberg said. The service will require users to actively opt into it, Zuckerberg says, noting that your Facebook friends won’t see your dating profile.
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